King Abdullah has just replaced the government of Faisal al Fayez with the 69 year old academic Adnan Badran. There hasn't been much coverage of this yet - of the four Jordanian Arabic dailies, only al Ghad managed to get a story in to its online edition; none of the major Arab dailies has a story; and al Jazeera covers it but al Arabiya does not.
From what information is out there, the story seems to be that King Abdullah was angry with Fayez's government for "failing to perform up to expectation", especially with regard to the disastrous failed Jordanian initiative at the Arab summit which left Jordan exposed to ridicule (at home and abroad) with nothing to show for it. The
The stories so far have been emphasizing the Algiers Summit fiasco, but I suspect that the King was also upset with how Fayez's government has been handling the domestic issues that I've been writing about so much. Top Jordanian officials (I've heard) have been upset with what they see as the clumsy handling of the professional associations law standoff, and have been worried that the unfavorable publicity might negatively impact relations with Washington. I've been hoping that it would have such an effect, of course, even though I've seen no public evidence that it has. Perhaps the removal of Fayez can be interpreted as suggesting that there had been some attention to these domestic issues in private? Or that Abdullah and his advisers thought that it was only a matter of time before they did become an issue?
At any rate, while Badran has not yet announced a new government, al Jazeera mentions a couple of prominent figures who will return to the new government, including the uber-competent Marwan Muasher and the former planning minister Basem Awadhallah (who had resigned from Fayez's government). Notably not mentioned is controversial Interior Minister Samir Habashneh, which supports my thesis that the escalating domestic conflicts had a lot to do with the change.
Badran himself is a respected academic. I don't know much about his politics. He is not a young man, and seems an odd choice to lead Abdullah's avowed modernization and transformational agenda. Nor is he a recycled, experienced former Prime Minister, who could be counted on to smooth over a turbulent domestic and Arab environment while ramming through desired changes. He's the brother of former Prime Minister Mudar Badran, who was both a former director of Jordanian Intelligence and popular with the Muslim Brotherhood. We'll have to wait and see what kind of Cabinet Badran puts together, and what kind of marching orders the King gives him.
The removal of Fayez sort of came out of the blue, and was sort of expected. There has been a lot of criticism of Fayez in the political class of late, both from the government and from the opposition. This actually should help to demonstrate the point of the Muslim Brotherhood's recent call for an "elected, popular government." Fayez, like all Jordanian Prime Minister's, serves at the discretion of the King. He fell not because of a Parliamentary no-confidence vote, or because of a lack of popularity, but because the King wanted a change.
It's interesting that the day before the change, government spokeswoman Asma Khader gave a widely reported (in Jordan) speech declaring that "our government is elected and enjoys the confidence of Parliament", a clear response to the MB's demands for a "popular elected government." She also argued that Jordan's reform process preceded any American initiatives, including the Greater Middle East Initiative. Once again, it is unclear to me why Jordanians are arguing so much about whether or not reform is being driven by America - both the government (Khader) and the opposition (Hamza Mansour yesterda) have been at pains to declare this - when there has been no such public American pressure.
UPDATE: Want to know the American view of the Jordanian change of government? Really? Then you are obviously not a State Department briefer or a member of the press corp in attendance at the Daily Press Briefing. The word "Jordan" did not come up today. Actually, I suppose that's probably better than an appropriation of this entirely typical piece of Jordanian political business as usual as somehow being further evidence of "freedom on the march"... which we'll probably start seeing soon.
UPDATE 2: I just saw the very astute Jordanian columnist Samih al Mayateh on al Jazeera - the host cut him off pretty quickly, unfortunately, but he had some useful comments. Basically, he pointed out that the decision was King Abdullah's alone, and that most of the Jordanian political elite was taken by surprise by the choice of Adnan Badran. Even a day ago, if I heard him correctly, a bunch of other names had been circulating as possible replacements for Faisal al Fayez. The choice of Badran had to do more with Abdullah's level of comfort with him than with his identification with any political trend or a clear political program - which, Mayateh suggests (and would have elaborated on, no doubt, if the host hadn't so rudely moved on to the next story) is an endemic and structural problem with the Jordanian political system.
From L'Orient-Le Jour
King Abdallah II of Jordan has named academic Adana Badran to form a new government in a gesture perceived in political circles as a sign of engagement on the part of the monarch in favor of political reforms in Jordan. President of Philadelphia University, a private institution, Mr. Badran served twice as Deputy Director of UNESCOand as a Jordanian cabinet minister in 1988 and 1989. Mr. Badran speaks fluent Arab, French and English and has written several research papers in the field of Biology. The King chose Mr. Batran for his "wisdom", "maturity", "experience", "knowledge" and "sincere belief in reform."
A brand new face to head the government, the 69 year-old Badran has a reputation for integrity and sobriety among his associates.
The King has also named outgoing Vice Premier Marwan Moasher as Court Minister in charge of royal palace policy dossiers and outgoing Prime Minister Fayçal al-Fayez as Head of Royal Cabinet in charge of administrative affairs.
The new Prime Minister will initiate talks on forming a new government which will be scheduled Wednesday and Thursday, say official sources. The Prime Minister convoked the cabinet Tuesday in an emergency session and requested the resignations of all 27 ministers which King Abdullah accepted, reports the Petra News Agency.
Sources say that among the changes expected is the replacement of the Foreign Minister, Hani Mouki, on the receiving end of much criticism at the Algiers Summit, by a new face, ex-ambassador and Amman Diplomacy Center Director Farouk Kasrawi.
King Abdallah II had criticized the government headed by Fayçal Fayez which was formed in October 2003 and reshuffled one year later for its poor performance, expecially after the March Arab Summit.
In addition, foreign governments, headed by the USA, believed that Jordan had introduced an unsatisfactory number of reforms, say Jordanian political circles. "Although Jordan intended to become the leading Arab state in pioneering reforms, the lack of progress over the last few years consigned it to the back seat", says a Jordanian ex-minister to AFP.
The recent working trip by the Abdallah II to the USA, Jordan's major financial backer, presented US officials with the opportunity of raising the subject of the lack of progress in carrying out reforms with the King, says the same source.
According sources close to the palace, the King was unhappy with the way in which the government handled the recent political crisis with Iraq. Amman was accused by Baghdad of not doing enough to prevent Jordanian terrorists from entering Iraq which resulted in the recall of the Jordanian Ambassador on 22 March. The crisis was provoked by the alleged involvement of a Jordanian in a bloody attack in Hilla, 100 km south of Baghdad, on 28 February. Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari told AFP on 22 March that "Iraqis were very offended by the cavalier manner in which Jordan met their concerns over the incident".
It looks as if the King was told to drop everything and was summoned to Washington because of the diplomatic crisis with Iraq. The unreported remarks by Condi about reforms were likely made to the King in private in Washington and were later discussed publically in Amman.
Posted by: Nur al-Cubicle | April 05, 2005 at 08:56 PM
Last paragraph is mine.
Posted by: Nur al-Cubicle | April 05, 2005 at 08:57 PM